Companies vying for share of purloined aid budget as UK plans to spend big on drones and military tech

Keir Starmer visits drone factory. Credit: Reuters

While behind-the-scenes wrangling on the final details of the latest Strategic Defence Review continue, the overall message is crystal clear: the UK intends to significantly increase military spending. To enable this there have already been a number of government decisions designed to make funds available, in particular, for new weapons technology and programmes.

In November, the Defence Secretary announced he was cutting a number of ‘outdated’ military programmes (including the infamous Watchkeeper drone) to make funds available for new military technology. The Chief of the Defence Staff, Admiral Tony Radakin argued that “accelerating the disposal of legacy equipment is the logical approach to focus on the transition to new capabilities that better reflect changing technology and tactics.”

In a more ambitious money grab, PM Kier Starmer announced that he was cutting the UK’s aid budget to help increase military spending to 2.5% of GDP and said he would use the released funds to “accelerate the adoption of cutting-edge capabilities.” Starmer argued that the aid cuts would mean an extra £13.4bn military spending per year from 2027. Others, however, argued that in real terms, the increase would be around £6bn per year. Many noted that whatever the boost to UK military spending, the cuts would significantly harm the worlds poorest people.

Finally, there has been a concerted effort to ensure that banks, pension funds and other big investors – who have accepted that military companies should be excluded from ethical investment portfolios – get back in line and ensure that military companies have full access to all their funds. The government it seems, is adamant that private as well as public funds are made available to such companies. Not unrelated to this move, universities are also coming under pressure to crackdown on opposition to military company recruitment on campus.

Which drones companies are likely to benefit?

A number of newer and older military companies are likely to benefit from the coming increase in military spending and, in anticipation, we have seen a surge in the stock prices of many of the companies involved. While drones and related technology are only one part of the increase in military spending, a number of companies in this area are likely to benefit.

Helsing

Helsing is a new company set-up by three AI experts in Berlin in 2021. Its website states that it was “founded to put ethics at the core of defence technology development” and insists that ”artificial intelligence will be the key capability to keep liberal democracies from harm”

HX-2 one way attack drones stocked at Hesling factory
HX-2 one way attack drones stocked at Hesling factory

One of the company’s first products is the HX-2 attack drone. HX-2 is a meter long, electrically propelled X-wing, one-way attack drone with up to 100 km range. The company says that on-board AI enables it to resist jamming and that multiple HX-2 can be assembled into swarms. The drone has been designed to be mass-producible and Helsing announced in February 2025 that It had set-up the first of what it is calling its ‘resilience factories’ in southern Germany to mass produce 6,000 of the drones for Ukraine. Jane’s reported in December 2024 that Helsing was to set up a factory in the UK and it is highly likely that the UK will order the HX-2 drone.

Anduril

Palmer Luckey with Andruil's Fury drone
Palmer Luckey with Andruil’s Fury drone

Although a little older than Helsing, Anduril too is a relatively new player to the defence industry. Co-founded in 2017 by technology entrepreneur Palmer Luckey, the company (named after a sword in Lord of the Rings) and its co-founder have been subject to an extra-ordinary amount of adulatory media coverage.

The UK has already awarded Anduril a number of contracts including a £30m deal in March 2025 to supply the Altius 600m and Altius 700m drones to Ukraine and it too announced this week plans to open a drone factory in the UK. Anduril is one of two companies left in the competition to supply the US air force with new category of drone called Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA). The UK too wants to acquire these type of drones to work in conjunction with its F-35 fighter aircraft and future Tempest combat aircraft. Anduril also works closely with another US AI tech company, Palantir, in development of AI-enabled intelligence and ‘battle-management’ systems similar in vein to the Israel ‘Lavender’ and ‘Gospel’ systems. This too is an area that the UK is likely to want to fund.

BAE Systems

Image of model of BAe's new drone concept
BAES System’s latest concept model for the UK’s ‘Autonomous Collaborative Platform’

The opposite of a newcomer, BAE Systems has a long history of being the main beneficiary of UK military spending. Research by CAAT showed that between 2012 and 2023, the company had more meetings with British prime ministers than any other private company.

With a track record of being involved with the development of drones including the UK’s experimental Taranis combat drone, BAE Systems is keen to position itself at the forefront of development of uncrewed autonomous systems. It has showcased its designs for the UK’s Autonomous Collaborative Platforms (ACP) programme – the UK’s equivalent to the US Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA) – and it continue to trial is Phasa-35 High-altitude surveillance drones.

Alongside this, BAE has quietly bought up a number of smaller, niche military drone companies to acquire new designs and expertise from those companies – including Prismatic, Malloy Aeronautics and Callen-Lenz – and has signed an agreement with QinetiQ to collaborate on the development of drone technology.    Read more

MoD publish new UK ‘Drone Strategy’ and its embarrassing, superficial nonsense.

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The Ministry of Defence (MoD) finally published its long-promised strategy on UK plans to be “a world leader in defence uncrewed systems’ and to say its underwhelming would be an understatement.  The document – stripping out graphics, self-promotional photographs and the glossary –  runs to around four pages, much of which is filled with management speak that would make David Brent wince.   Apparently, through “Pan-Defence Excellence” the MoD will be “enshrining the principle of iterative – or spiral – capability development” to create a more “predictable demand signal.”

In a nutshell, the (ahem) ‘strategy’ seems to be: ‘learning from the war in Ukraine we will work even closer with the defence industry’.  The Minister for Defence Procurement James Cartlidge and the Commander of Strategic Command, General Sir Jim Hockenhull announced the strategy at a press event at Malloy Systems, the drone company recently taken over by BAE Systems.

The strategy document contains no details about timescales, programmes, spending or even categories of uncrewed systems that the MoD will be focusing on.  The closest the document comes to any information on future plans is a bullet point that says “the RAF is testing cost-effective expendable Autonomous Collaborative Platforms.”  Another bullet point argues that “the army has a long history of uncrewed systems and development.”  Pretty sure someone should have at least added the word ‘chequered’ in there.

Drone Strategy launched at Malloy Systems. Credit: BAE Systems

Sifting through this thin gruel we can pick out one or two points.

  • In his Introduction, Minister for Defence Procurement James Cartlidge argues “it is in the uncrewed space that we will increasingly drive the mass of our forces…” Drones, in other words, are seen as a way of increasing the size and lethality of UK armed forces as personnel recruitment slumps and spending on big-ticket items eats up the budget.
  • There is a recognition that drone warfare is “not only here to stay but likely to increase as technology expands opportunities for [drone] employment.” This is due to the fact, argues the document, that “inexpensive commercial and military technologies have democratised [drone] employment.”  Drone warfare, it is acknowledged,  is no longer the preserve of larger Western states.
  • The strategy suggests that the “initial priority is the successful delivery of the Ukraine-UK uncrewed systems initiative.” Given that the current use of drones in this conflict is primarily small, first person view (FPV) drones or one-way attack drones, it is likely that funding of  new UK developments will be in this area.   Whether that will be effective for UK security needs is questionable to say the least.
  • The decline in transparency and debate about the development, use, legality and efficacy of drone warfare from the government is likely to continue. While,  the document pays lip-service  to “the importance of public engagement” on these issues and insists it is  “committed … to keeping the public informed of our progress and developments”  these lofty aims are caveated with need to protect “necessary operational sensitivity” and the requirement to “balance transparency with security.”

All in all, it is likely this strategy document will be put on a shelf and quickly forgotten.

MoD to hold ‘duel of drones’ to choose new armed unmanned system

Artist conception of Loyal Wingman drones

The Ministry of Defence (MoD) will launch a series of competitions this autumn to progress the selection of an armed loyal wingman drone culminating in a duel between the two finalist – “an operational fly-off” as Sir Mike Wigston, Chief of Air Staff described it.  The initiative comes after the abrupt cancellation of Project Mosquito (to develop a loyal wingman drone technology demonstrator for the RAF)  earlier this summer.  The RAF’s Rapid Capabilities Office (RCO) will run the new process, open to both UK and international industry , and aimed at acquiring a “Mosquito type autonomous combat vehicle” after the Mosquito project itself was cancelled as it was not  thought able to achieve an operational drone within the desired timeframe.

Loyal Wingman

The concept of loyal wingman drones is for one or more to fly alongside, or in the vicinity of, a piloted military aircraft  – currently for the UK that would be  Typhoon and F-35, but in the future, Tempest – with the drones carrying out specific tasks such as surveillance, electronic warfare (i.e. radar jamming), laser guiding weapons onto targets, or air-to-air or air-to-ground strikes.   Rather than being directly controlled by an individual pilot on the ground as the UK’s current fleet of Reaper drones are, these drone fly autonomously, sharing data and information with commanders on the ground via the main aircraft.

In addition, loyal wingman drones are supposed to be cheap enough that they can be either entirely expendable or ‘attritable’ (that is not quite expendable, but cheap enough so that it is not a significant event if it is shot down or crashes).  However, Aviation International News, who spoke to an RCO insider, said that the focus would now centre on exploring a drone that fits somewhere between Category 1 (expendable airframes) and Category 2 (attritable airframes). According to the source, there is also a Category 3, which is survivable, indicating a larger airframe with stealth and other advanced technology and no doubt much more expensive.

Which drones will win out to take part in the ‘fly-off’ and come out on top as the UK’s loyal wingman drone is hard to predict, not least because the MoD’s criteria appears yet to be fixed.  However a few of the likely competitors are already emerging:  Read more

General Atomics bring in BAE Systems to lobby for ‘Protector’ drone to fly in UK

Drone manufacturer, General Atomics, hosted an event in London on 24 January in order – as its press release put it – “to recognize UK companies that are contributing to operational systems such as MQ-9 Reaper and MQ-1C Gray Eagle, and the new MQ-9B SkyGuardian RPA program” (which the UK MoD is calling ‘Protector’).

As part of the day, the US company signed agreements with three major UK defence companies: Raytheon, MBDA and BAE Systems.  Raytheon will supply and integrate Paveway IV bombs onto the new British drone while MBDA will integrate and supply it with the new Brimstone missile. BAE Systems, however, will play a wider role, helping to enable the new drone to be flown within the UK airspace. Read more

Tempestuous relations: Brexit and UK future drone developments

Tempest concept image

In May 2017, Chair of BAE Systems, Sir Roger Carr, blithely insisted at the company’s AGM that Brexit would have no impact whatsoever on the on-going development of the new Anglo-French advanced combat drone.  “We will still be working with the EU on defence, certainly in terms of fighting terrorism, and we can preserve our relationship with France in developing the next generation of unmanned aircraft,” he told shareholders.

Just two months later Carr had to eat his words as a major realignment of European Read more

BAE Systems pushing ahead with autonomous drone targeting

BAE System's Taranis drone in flight
BAE System’s Taranis drone in flight

In a briefing for selected journalists on its military drone projects, BAE Systems revealed that it is pushing ahead with work on allowing future armed drones to undertake autonomous targeting.

While current British rules of engagement mean that a human must individually authorise targets, company executives told journalists that “the rules of engagement could change.”  The Times reported that the company was ‘proceeding on the basis that an autonomous strike capability could be required in the future.’ Read more